September 29, 2023

SSDs is likely to be the defacto storage customary on laptops and gaming PCs, however spinning disk drives are nonetheless the predominant storage medium for datacenters. Predictions estimated that this conduct will stretch till 2028 when exhausting drive gross sales have been predicted to fall in favor of SSDs. However a new report from Blocks and Recordsdata counters that prediction, estimating that tough drive gross sales will maintain sturdy to 2028.

Blocks and Recordsdata reported on a forecast made by Coughlin Associates estimating that the present rise in SSD gross sales could have minimal affect on tape and HDD shipments. The primary drivers behind this conduct embody AI, the Web of Issues, media, leisure, and the medical industries. Every of those improve demand for giant capability exhausting drives.

Two charts have been shared, exhibiting the annual projected progress of exhausting drives by kind issue and exhausting drive shipments when it comes to capability. The previous revealed that the expansion of three.5 inch exhausting drives and a pair of.5 inch exhausting drives mixed have been anticipated to speed up from 150,000 models bought in 2024 to simply over 200,000 in 2028. (The graph additionally projected 2.5 inch drives dropping in reputation to three.5 inch as nicely.)

Coughlin Associates HDD Capacity Shipment Projections

(Picture credit score: Blocks and Recordsdata)

The latter revealed an exponential progress in exhausting drive shipments, sorted by exabytes shipped. In 2022, roughly 1500 exabytes of exhausting drive capability have been shipped out, by 2028 Coughlin’s projections estimate that quantity will develop by six instances, amounting to 9000 exabytes shipped.